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Find the Optimal Generation Mix in Minutes, Not Weeks

At an existing grid connection in Portugal — and runnable for sites anywhere in the world — Enlitia simulated wind, solar and battery mixes against multi-year hourly production and market prices. Dozens of configurations ranked by capture price, NPV and payback in seconds, not weeks — so teams see which hybrid add-ons improve the site before committing CAPEX.

Context

Illustrative run in Portugal (baseline: 15 MW wind + 5 MWp solar at a 30 MW POC). The same approach can be simulated for assets anywhere in the world. Battery on capture-price dispatch (C2).

Challenge

Hybridising wind, solar and storage at a shared connection means hundreds of sizing choices. Operators need ranked options by €/MWh, NPV and payback before investing. To keep the ranking realistic, we also had to build a power forecast simulation for the last 5 years for each technology — so we could estimate forecast uncertainty, measure imbalance costs, and stress-test each configuration under conditions closer to day-to-day operations, not only perfect foresight.

What we ran

  1. Select parks and connection limit / tariffs
  2. Configure ranges (solar MWp, turbines, battery units)
  3. Project-specific battery — we implement the battery system the project needs (not locked to a single catalogue SKU)
  4. Sweep and rank — up to 50 configs, 12+ KPIs each, end-to-end in seconds

Data

Enlitia can simulate on the full set of market and meteorological inputs required — typically the last 5 years, extendable to 10 years — so the ranking reflects real price and weather regimes for that site.

Sweep (illustrative)

  • Solar: 0–20 MWp · step 5 · PPA 45 €/MWh
  • Wind: 0–4 turbines · Spot
  • Battery: 0–1 unit · project-specific system

Result (top ranked by capture price)

  • Baseline capture: 42.5 €/MWh
  • Optimal: 10 MWp solar + 2 turbines (9 MW) + 1× battery51.2 €/MWh (+8.7)
  • CF POC 47% (+12 pp) · NPV 1.52 M€ · payback 6.1 years · revenue 312 k€/yr

How to read it

Proof that Enlitia can run hybrid / battery sizing simulations as a tailored engagement — on your parks, with your tariffs, and with the battery the project actually needs.

Illustrative results from a Portugal simulation. Real outcomes vary by site, tariffs and technology choices. The same method applies worldwide.

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